Trevor Rogers (SP, MIA) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Values
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 390 CURRENT ADP: ~444 overall ANALYSIS: Rogers is being overlooked to some extent because of the company he keeps. Sandy Alcantara stepped forward in a big way with an All-Star nod in 2019 and 2020 was all about Sixto Sanchez. The Marlins are now knee-deep in young arms who could vie for a... Read More
Austin Riley (3B, ATL) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Values
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 185 CURRENT ADP: ~206 overall ANALYSIS: With the power being the strength in his game it was encouraging to see him not selling out for power as much in 2020. He hit more line drives (30.7%) but unfortunately he saw a big jump in ground balls. Up to 42.1% from 25.6%... Read More
Christian Walker (1B, ARI) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Values
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 175 CURRENT ADP: ~193 overall ANALYSIS: Walker put together a solid 2020 campaign hitting .271/.333/.459 with seven homers in 57 games, although that's hardly worth describing as a break out. Statcast emphasizes that Walker was unlucky in 2020 with regards to home runs as he had an expected home run (xHR)... Read More
Alex Dickerson (OF, SF) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Values
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 295 CURRENT ADP: ~319 overall ANALYSIS: 2020 was the second season now for Dickerson in which he impressed, albeit in limited opportunities. His .298/.371/576 triple slash last year was the product of hitting the ball harder. He set new career-highs in average exit velocity, barrel rate, and hard-hit rate, all... Read More
Bobby Dalbec (1B, BOS) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Values
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 250 CURRENT ADP: ~277 overall ANALYSIS: After coming up through Boston's farm system as a third baseman, Dalbec now projects to be the Opening Day first baseman for the Red Sox with Rafael Devers manning the hot corner. Dalbec slugged his way through the upper levels of the minors, hitting 32 home runs... Read More
Mark Canha (OF, OAK) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Values
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 240 CURRENT ADP: ~255 overall ANALYSIS: In 2020, Oakland A’s outfielder/designated hitter Mark Canha posted a .246/.387/.408 slash line to go with five home runs and a very impressive 33 RBI in 243 plate appearances. While his RBI total, fifteenth in all of MLB, and OBP were among the league’s best... Read More
Devin Williams (RP, MIL) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Values
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 150 CURRENT ADP: ~167 overall ANALYSIS: It's no surprise that Williams is one of the highest non-closer relievers being drafted now after his insane 2020 season that saw him win the NL Rookie of the Year Award and finish seventh in the Cy Young race. Obviously, the strikeouts were a big... Read More
Danny Jansen (C, TOR) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Values
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 280 CURRENT ADP: ~310 overall ANALYSIS: Jansen was a fairly popular sleeper candidate at catcher heading into last season, but investments from fantasy managers failed to pay off with Jansen batting just .183 with a similarly poor .671 OPS. Jansen managed to post a career-best .352 xwOBA that ranked eighth... Read More
Carlos Santana (1B/DH, KC) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Values
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 260 CURRENT ADP: ~292 overall ANALYSIS: Kansas City Royals first baseman/designated hitter Carlos Santana gets overlooked every single season. The reason is because of rotisserie bias (Roto is the more popular format), but Santana is always such a value in points leagues, where hitters lose points for strikeouts but are awarded points... Read More
Ryan Mountcastle (1B/OF, BAL) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Values
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 130 CURRENT ADP: ~146 overall ANALYSIS: The frontrunner for 2021 AL Rookie of the Year may be a poor fielder but a full season at Camden Yards should yield profits. The 2020 small sample brought us a .333/.386/.492 slash with five homers over 140 PAs, but much of that was... Read More
Eduardo Escobar (3B, ARI) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Values
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 260 CURRENT ADP: ~278 overall ANALYSIS: Eduardo Escobar was a player that was expected to regress from the big year he had in 2019. The juiced ball really assisted the power that year and it was a clear outlier. However, we saw Escobar regress a little too much in 2020. He... Read More
Colin Moran (1B, PIT) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Values
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 375 CURRENT ADP: ~411 overall ANALYSIS: The departure of Josh Bell in a trade to the Washington Nationals has opened up a full-time spot at first base for Moran who put up his most impressive power numbers last year. Moran led the Pirates in 2020 with 10 homers in 52 games (having hit... Read More
James McCann (C, NYM) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Values
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 180 CURRENT ADP: ~190 overall ANALYSIS: Despite being a career .249 hitter, James McCann really came into his own at the plate once he left Detroit. Over the past two seasons with the White Sox, he owns the second-highest BA among catchers and the fifth-most runs scored, and that was... Read More
C.J. Cron (1B, COL) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Values
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 235 CURRENT ADP: ~294 overall ANALYSIS: Cron will enter his age-31 season having only logged more than 500 PAs once in his seven-year career. But he’s at the perfect price point where you shrug at the low floor while recognizing his stellar power potential. I realize power bats don’t mean... Read More
Marcus Semien (SS, TOR) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Values
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 110 CURRENT ADP: ~131 overall ANALYSIS: If you look at his expected batting average from 2020, Marcus Semien should have theoretically performed worse than he actually did (.223), which suggests he was somewhat lucky. But then you look at his .260 BABIP last year which was both a career-worst and... Read More
Yimi Garcia (RP, MIA) - 2021 Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleepers
2020 was an odd season for all of Major League Baseball but the Miami Marlins’ odyssey stands out as one of the most bizarre. Miami played their first series of the season before a full-blown COVID-19 outbreak postponed their next eight games. They ended up putting 17 players on the injured list and resumed play... Read More
Griffin Canning (SP, LAA) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Values
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 275 CURRENT ADP: ~290 overall ANALYSIS: Canning had his struggles last year after getting a late start to the year after dealing with some elbow injuries. His 23.5%-9.7% K-BB ratio is far from encouraging, but I think that was attributable to the elbow discomfort and delayed season. What this Angels righty... Read More
Keegan Akin (SP, BAL) - 2021 Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleepers
Keegan Akin made his MLB debut for the Baltimore Orioles during the 2020 season and the former second-round draft pick didn't disgrace himself. Akin ended the season with a 4.56 ERA and 1.44 WHIP from his eight appearances (six starts) as well as striking out 35 batters in 25.2 IP. Akin is expected to start the... Read More
Tommy La Stella (1B/2B/3B, SF) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Values
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 290 CURRENT ADP: ~306 overall ANALYSIS: Finally signing with the San Francisco Giants, La Stella should play just about every day and hit atop the Giants Lineup. Tommy La Stella is what I categorize as a roster stabilizer. His production is not flashy, but you can write it in pen.... Read More
Jared Walsh (1B, LAA) - 2021 Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleepers
Jared Walsh burst onto the Minor League scene in 2019 after hitting 36 homers in 98 games and received a call up to the Angels. Prior to that, Walsh had 49 homers in 361 Minor League games so his power outburst came as a surprise. Walsh didn't have a great start to his MLB career... Read More
Triston McKenzie (SP, CLE) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Values
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 165 CURRENT ADP: ~185 overall ANALYSIS: Triston McKenzie was ranked as a top-100 prospect from 2017 through 2019. He missed the 2019 season due to strains of his lat and pectoral muscles, but his career 30.4 percent strikeout rate, 0.997 WHIP and 2.68 ERA over four seasons in the minors was... Read More
Tarik Skubal (SP, DET) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Values
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 275 CURRENT ADP: ~295 overall ANALYSIS: Tarik Skubal was not even the most highly touted young pitcher on his own team last year, as he was often overlooked for Casey Mize. However, Skubal outperformed Mize and posted a really strong 27.6% strikeout rate with an 8.2% walk rate. The ERA was... Read More
Josh Rojas (2B, ARI) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Values
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 400 CURRENT ADP: ~617 overall ANALYSIS: Rojas has had trouble getting regular playing time with the DBacks, but that may be changing for 2021. With the injury to Kole Calhoun, that opens up some outfield playing time where Rojas has played from time to time for the DBacks, but there’s a... Read More
David Fletcher (2B/SS/3B, LAA) - 2021 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers
Analyzing David Fletcher is an exercise in extremes. No qualified batter swung-and-missed less frequently than Fletcher did in 2020, and no qualified batter posted a lower hard-hit rate than Fletcher’s 17.8% mark. In an era of hitters who tend to be more power-oriented, Fletcher stands out as a contact-focused hitter with unremarkable power. Fletcher’s ability... Read More
Dylan Carlson (OF, STL) - 2021 Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleepers
Pitchers and catchers report to Spring Training in a couple of weeks, which means fantasy baseball draft season is ramping up. We do not know if there is a universal DH or a full 162-game season. What we do know is we will draft teams regardless and we will need some fantasy sleepers. Some sleepers... Read More
Manuel Margot (OF, TB) - 2021 Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleepers
When you get to the middle to late rounds of drafts, it becomes increasingly difficult to find stolen bases. Many of the options that are available will end up hurting fantasy owners in at least a couple of other categories. Therefore, it's important to either have a plan in place to attack steals early, or... Read More
Leody Taveras (OF, TEX) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Values
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 180 CURRENT ADP: ~199 overall ANALYSIS: Leody Tavares is a less-heralded prospect who could start the season up in the big leagues. The 22-year-old switch hitter had a brief stint with the Rangers in 2020, hitting .227 with four HR in just 33 games. While the power is nice, it's... Read More
Andres Gimenez (2B/SS, CLE) - 2021 Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleepers
Andres Gimenez burst onto the scene in the shortened 2020 season. Originally expected to spend the year at the alternate training site for the New York Mets, Gimenez worked his way into a roster spot in spring training with his baserunning instincts and highlight-reel defensive plays, and then soon overtook the slumping Amed Rosario to... Read More
Tanner Houck (SP, BOS) - 2021 Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleepers
The Red Sox haven’t developed a legitimate MLB starting pitcher since Clay Buchholz, but Tanner Houck has the potential to be just that. Houck was the Red Sox’s first-round pick back in 2017 and steadily climbed the system since then, never putting up eye-popping numbers but always holding his own at every level he was... Read More