And just like that, the calendar creeps towards July and we all descend into heat-induced comas filled with spin-rate fever dreams. Meditate with me and think of a happy, Manfred-less baseball universe as we update my weekly Starting Pitcher Baller Ranks. I take stock of my top 101 SPs moving forward. We're halfway into the season, so I've changed the visible stats on my table to display numbers from May 27-June 27 for more relevant intel from the past month. So the "EV" below is Earned Value via Fangraphs for that period.
Click the link! This google sheet accompanies the table below and adds relevant 5x5 stats, K%, BB%, BABIP, FIP, xFIP, SIERA, ERA-FIP, and CSW%. Do note that I leave off most injured players, and removing those injured players can give an illusion that others have risen despite mediocre performances. I highly encourage you to click the link.
To be clear, these Rest of Season ranks are geared towards traditional 5x5 leagues sans most injured SPs, lest a return is imminent. If 25% of the board is on the IL, then it isn't terribly actionable, and I'll intermittently weave in updates of where I'd throw them in if they were healthy. For now, let's dive into my Top 101 SPs and be sure we've got the best rotation possible.
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Top 101 Starting Pitchers for Fantasy Baseball - Week 14
(+/-) | Tier | Player | Rank | EV | $ | $PV | Trend | Notes |
0 | 1 | Jacob deGrom | 1 | 15.7 | 42.0 | 42.0 | 0.0 ▬ | He's God on a pitcher's mound |
1 | 2 | Max Scherzer | 2 | 6.8 | 38.5 | 36.5 | 2.0 ▲ | Good test at home vs. LAD next |
-1 | 2 | Gerrit Cole | 3 | 1.0 | 36.5 | 38.5 | -2.0 ▼ | Hot/windy Fenway was brutal |
0 | 2 | Brandon Woodruff | 4 | 3.1 | 36.5 | 36.5 | 0.0 ▬ | Coors hiccup very forgivable |
0 | 2 | Zack Wheeler | 5 | 12.2 | 36.0 | 36.0 | 0.0 ▬ | Mortal v. WAS, back to ace @NYM |
0 | 2 | Kevin Gausman | 6 | 7.9 | 34.0 | 34.0 | 0.0 ▬ | Must respect the splitter |
0 | 2 | Yu Darvish | 7 | 4.8 | 33.0 | 33.0 | 0.0 ▬ | Buying 2020's control bump is working out |
2 | 2 | Lucas Giolito | 8 | 3.9 | 28.5 | 26.0 | 2.5 ▲ | |
2 | 2 | Clayton Kershaw | 9 | 6.9 | 28.0 | 26.0 | 2.0 ▲ | |
-1 | 2 | Walker Buehler | 10 | 2.8 | 26.0 | 28.0 | -2.0 ▼ | 11 Ks, but it was ARI; do it vs. real team |
-3 | 3 | Trevor Bauer | 11 | 1.0 | 26.0 | 28.5 | -2.5 ▼ | |
0 | 3 | Carlos Rodon | 12 | 6.0 | 25.5 | 25.5 | 0.0 ▬ | |
0 | 3 | Lance Lynn | 13 | 6.8 | 24.5 | 24.5 | 0.0 ▬ | HOU nipped him but he's A-OK |
0 | 3 | Corbin Burnes | 14 | 10.9 | 24.0 | 24.0 | 0.0 ▬ | Hit at Coors, crushed Rox away from Coors |
0 | 3 | Trevor Rogers | 15 | 8.7 | 22.0 | 22.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
0 | 3 | Freddy Peralta | 16 | 8.0 | 20.5 | 20.5 | 0.0 ▬ | |
0 | 4 | Joe Musgrove | 17 | 3.6 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
2 | 4 | Robbie Ray | 18 | 5.1 | 19.0 | 18.5 | 0.5 ▲ | |
18 | 4 | Luis Castillo | 19 | 7.6 | 18.5 | 8.5 | 10.0 ▲ | June: 31.2 IP, 1.71 ERA, 32/12 K/BB; Woo! |
-2 | 4 | Hyun-Jin Ryu | 20 | -0.7 | 18.5 | 19.0 | -0.5 ▼ | Lower Ks cap upside, but steady SP2 |
-2 | 4 | Aaron Nola | 21 | 1.8 | 17.0 | 18.5 | -1.5 ▼ | SF crushed him, then 12 Ks @NYM |
-1 | 4 | Sandy Alcantara | 22 | 5.9 | 15.0 | 17.0 | -2.0 ▼ | |
0 | 4 | Julio Urias | 23 | 0.9 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 0.0 ▬ | Career-high 12 Ks for rebound |
0 | 4 | Pablo Lopez | 24 | 4.9 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
0 | 4 | Framber Valdez | 25 | 4.9 | 13.5 | 13.5 | 0.0 ▬ | QS in 5 straight, curve is A1 |
0 | 4 | Tyler Mahle | 26 | 7.7 | 13.0 | 13.0 | 0.0 ▬ | Rising ratios lately but huge Ks sticking |
2 | 4 | Shohei Ohtani | 27 | 5.8 | 13.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 ▲ | |
3 | 5 | Chris Bassitt | 28 | 4.9 | 12.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 ▲ | Hasn't lost since April, another TEX on tap |
3 | 5 | Jose Berrios | 29 | 5.6 | 11.5 | 10.0 | 1.5 ▲ | |
6 | 5 | Kyle Hendricks | 30 | 1.0 | 11.5 | 8.5 | 3.0 ▲ | Run of 8 straight W/QS snapped Monday |
-4 | 5 | Zac Gallen | 31 | 0.3 | 11.0 | 13.0 | -2.0 ▼ | Got to 84 pitches in 3rd start back |
-2 | 5 | Kenta Maeda | 32 | 0.6 | 10.5 | 11.0 | -0.5 ▼ | |
0 | 5 | Zack Greinke | 33 | 3.2 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 0.0 ▬ | Only 1 QS in last 4 after 5 straight |
-6 | 5 | Marcus Stroman | 34 | 5.3 | 9.5 | 12.5 | -3.0 ▼ | On bereavement list |
-1 | 5 | Ian Anderson | 35 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 9.5 | -0.5 ▼ | |
-1 | 5 | Lance McCullers Jr. | 36 | 1.7 | 9.0 | 8.5 | 0.5 ▲ | |
1 | 5 | Charlie Morton | 37 | 5.5 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 ▲ | Amazing in last 2, won 5 of 6 |
2 | 5 | Taijuan Walker | 38 | 7.4 | 8.5 | 8.0 | 0.5 ▲ | |
2 | 6 | Dylan Cease | 39 | 6.4 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
3 | 6 | Sean Manaea | 40 | 10.9 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
3 | 6 | Yusei Kikuchi | 41 | 3.5 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
8 | 6 | Tarik Skubal | 42 | 6.3 | 8.0 | 6.5 | 1.5 ▲ | |
9 | 6 | Kyle Gibson | 43 | 4.7 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 ▲ | Steamrolled KC, 10 K in 7 scoreless |
-2 | 6 | Mike Minor | 44 | 5.6 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
0 | 6 | Zach Eflin | 45 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
10 | 6 | Jose Urquidy | 46 | 5.9 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 ▲ | Mid-3's ERA backed by all peripherals |
-8 | 6 | Adbert Alzolay | 47 | -1.4 | 7.0 | 8.0 | -1.0 ▼ | |
-1 | 6 | Rich Hill | 48 | 0.7 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
2 | 6 | Luis Garcia | 49 | 9.2 | 7.0 | 6.5 | 0.5 ▲ | |
-2 | 6 | Blake Snell | 50 | 1.5 | 6.5 | 7.0 | -0.5 ▼ | |
-2 | 7 | Domingo German | 51 | 0.1 | 6.5 | 7.0 | -0.5 ▼ | Location off lately, hasn't gone 6 IP in a month |
3 | 7 | JT Brubaker | 52 | 4.4 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 ▲ | |
6 | 7 | Anthony DeSclafani | 53 | 6.6 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 ▲ | |
-1 | 7 | Chris Paddack | 54 | 3.2 | 5.0 | 6.0 | -1.0 ▼ | |
2 | 7 | Alex Wood | 55 | -1.3 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
2 | 7 | Jordan Montgomery | 56 | 5.7 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 0.5 ▲ | Getting whittled down, no implosions |
3 | 7 | Casey Mize | 57 | 2.3 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 ▲ | |
3 | 7 | Logan Gilbert | 58 | 4.1 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 ▲ | |
3 | 7 | James Kaprielian | 59 | 0.7 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 ▲ | Held TEX in check, gets them again next |
3 | 7 | Patrick Sandoval | 60 | 4.9 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 ▲ | |
3 | 8 | Adam Wainwright | 61 | 7.1 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
6 | 8 | Alek Manoah | 62 | -0.8 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 ▲ | |
2 | 8 | Andrew Heaney | 63 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 ▲ | |
2 | 8 | Shane McClanahan | 64 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 ▲ | 6 IP in B2B starts, 15/3 K/BB |
2 | 8 | Nathan Eovaldi | 65 | 8.1 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 ▬ | |
3 | 8 | Frankie Montas | 66 | 6.4 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 ▲ | |
3 | 8 | Ryan Yarbrough | 67 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 ▲ | |
3 | 8 | Alex Cobb | 68 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
3 | 8 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 69 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 ▲ | B2B QS, 23 K in last 16 IP |
3 | 8 | German Marquez | 70 | 9.2 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 ▲ | |
3 | 8 | Tony Gonsolin | 71 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 ▲ | Forming up; 4 IP, 1 ER, 7 K vs. CHC |
18 | 9 | Jake Odorizzi | 72 | 5.8 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 ▲ | |
2 | 9 | Nick Pivetta | 73 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 ▬ | |
2 | 9 | Jameson Taillon | 74 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 ▬ | First QS since May 7, hesitant |
2 | 9 | Marco Gonzales | 75 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 ▬ | |
2 | 9 | Zach Davies | 76 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 ▬ | |
2 | 9 | Caleb Smith | 77 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 ▬ | |
2 | 9 | Patrick Corbin | 78 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 ▲ | 3 consecutive QS, LAD next |
2 | 9 | Ross Stripling | 79 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 ▲ | |
2 | 9 | Kolby Allard | 80 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
3 | 9 | Joe Ross | 81 | 5.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
12 | 9 | Zach Thompson | 82 | 5.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | Healthy K/BB with FB, CT, CB |
2 | 9 | Bailey Ober | 83 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
2 | 9 | Merrill Kelly | 84 | 5.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
2 | 10 | Dallas Keuchel | 85 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
2 | 10 | Griffin Canning | 86 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
2 | 10 | Wade Miley | 87 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
N/A | 10 | Bailey Falter | 88 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 ▲ | 4 IP, 1 ER, 6 K @CIN is sweet |
3 | 10 | Antonio Senzatela | 89 | 7.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
-7 | 10 | Garrett Richards | 90 | -1.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | Seeking adjustments, not there yet |
2 | 10 | Johan Oviedo | 91 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
3 | 10 | Matt Manning | 92 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | Bombarded, needs whiffs to catch up |
3 | 10 | Kwang-Hyun Kim | 93 | -0.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
4 | 10 | Josh Fleming | 94 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
4 | 10 | Chris Flexen | 95 | 6.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
4 | 11 | Vladimir Gutierrez | 96 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
4 | 11 | Alec Mills | 97 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
N/A | 11 | Eli Morgan | 98 | -0.4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 ▲ | Surface stats belie potential |
N/A | 11 | David Peterson | 99 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 ▲ | |
N/A | 11 | Drew Smyly | 100 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 ▲ | |
-4 | 11 | Dylan Bundy | 101 | -2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | Keeping him so I can say, "Barf" |
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